The Growth Heuristic?: Investigating the Mechanisms for Presumptions of Improvement

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Authors

Antoun, Jillian

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thesis

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eng

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Social Psychology , Social Cognition , Judgment and Decision Making

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People presume improvement over time to be more likely than stability or decline, even in domains unrelated to themselves. Two studies were conducted to investigate the mechanism driving these presumptions. I hypothesized this effect to operate under heuristic pathways. Study 1 examined whether situational differences in intuitive versus reflective thinking were related to people’s presumption of improvement over time. Study 2 tested whether a manipulation of intuitive versus reflective thinking via an accountability prompt would influence presumptions of improvement. Both studies provided a successful replication of our prior research but failed to provide evidence of the growth bias operating through heuristic processing.

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This publication is made available by the authority of the copyright owner solely for the purpose of private study and research and may not be copied or reproduced except as permitted by the copyright laws without written authority from the copyright owner.

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